This year’s 2020 election between incumbent president Donald Trump, and former vice president Joe Biden- has become a globally invested phenomenon. In the last few days before the election, it’s safe to say that the early voting surge in US points had the highest record turnout predicted in over a century, with over 80 million votes already cast by citizens- says BBC News.
The moment that will decide whether Donald Trump remains in the White House for another 4 years will be on the 3rd of November, and voters in America-as well as the rest of the world- are all on edge. When observing the national presidential polls, it can clearly be seen that Biden is leading as the more popular candidate but looks can be deceiving as documentary filmmaker Michael Moore says, “Don’t believe the polls, Trump vote is always undercounted.”(Independent UK). He believes that Trump supporters are very suspicious of the ‘deep state’ calling them and asking who they’re voting for, thus making the national polls an inaccurate count. Moore further went on to call Trump an ‘evil genius’ as he believes his votes are going to rise at the last moment just like they did in 2016. Back then, Mrs. Clinton was ahead in the national polls, but as she and the rest of the world discovered- “the number of votes you win is less important than where you win them (in terms of states)” (BBC News). Most states in America nearly always tend to vote the same way for the same party, meaning that in reality there are but a handful of states that could be swayed to either side. These states are called swing states (or battleground states), and they are the places that will decide the victor of the upcoming election.
The latest polls for the swing states suggest that Mr. Biden has big leads in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin- “three industrial states that his Republican rival won by margins of less than 1% to clinch in victory in 2016” (BBC News). On the other hand, Mr. Trump and his campaign team will be most concerned for the states of Iowa, Ohio and Texas as his winning margin was between 8-10% in 2016 but is looking much closer at the moment. Lastly, FiveThirtyEight, a political analysis website says that Mr. Biden is “favored” to win the election over the incumbent president and is further positively predicted by TheEconomist saying he is “very likely” to beat Mr. Trump.
Now that the current presidential election grounds have been examined and established, it would be imperative to engage further with a glance into the future- how the United States would thrive under either candidate. According to TheAtlantic, a political magazine- if Mr. Trump wins and he is reinstated for a second term he “would make a lasting impact on the world right when it is at a particularly vulnerable moment. U.S. alliances would likely crumble, the global economy would close, and democracy and human rights would be in rapid retreat.” (TheAtlantic). This would greatly affect not only the citizens of the United States, but also a vast majority of the countries who are in alliances with US- this could damage world trade and the stock market thus crushing economies worldwide. Furthermore, the situations between the US and China, or the US and Russia- or even US and North Korea- will become more and more uncertain and with the coronavirus as a negative factor worldwide affecting every aspect of life, aggressions between those countries would be anything but ideal. Unfortunately, they would be within the realm of reality if Mr. Trump is granted re-election.
On the other hand, If Mr. Biden becomes elected as the 46th president of the United States, one of his primary concerns will likely be to reverse the damage caused by his predecessor. Throughout his presidential campaign, Biden has shared with the public a list of all the actions he would take if he became president, some of which would directly reverse the work conducted by the Trump Administration. These said actions include “re-entering the Paris Climate Agreement, which the US is set to exit on 4 November, 24 hours after election day. He would also rejoin the 2015 Iran Nuclear Deal in which Tehran agreed to limit its nuclear activities in return for the lifting of harsh economic sanctions. And he would also push for an extension of Barack Obama’s Affordable Care Act,which Trump and his allies have repeatedly attempted to dismantle.” (TheGuardian.Com). Unfortunately, the new president would be taking over an economic recession and a country struggling a global pandemic. In the first 100 days in the White House according to The Guardian would be to “to roll out a new nationwide plan to fight the coronavirus crisis, which has claimed more than 220,000 lives in the US and infected millions – more than any other country in the world – as well as taking steps to fix the disastrous economic fallout.” (TheGuardian.com). His presidency would have to make a big impact to be considered the beginning of a new era- which would be considered as such in order for him to have the Senate under his control- “Control of the Senate is crucial for a Biden presidency. Without it, much of his agenda is all but certain to stay in limbo.” (TheGuardian.com).
Overall, it’s safe to say that major changes will be implemented with either presidential candidate. The citizens of the US along with the rest of the world are all on the edge of their seats waiting for the election on November 3rd and at this point, it has been collectively decided that voting should take on the basis of ‘the lesser of two evils’. Whichever is the lesser depends on the morals, values and beliefs of the voter. What should be considered most important and primary action to take after the election should be regarding the coronavirus and the safety of the nation until a vaccine is found and distributed. Until then, the future of the country is in the hands of its people.